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Politics757 days left

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
15¢
15% implied
NO Price
85¢
85% implied
Volume
$27.95M
265,856 trades
Smart Whales
3194
of 42,790 traders · 229 on both sides

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

63 MARKETS · $1245.97M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

1908 YESvs1515 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 83% YES by dollars · 658 YES vs 162 NO taking a side · 225 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$372+8 new NO$1.1K
$25 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 89% of the money is not a bet
$2.57M of $2.88M is held equally on both sides by 224 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $205 is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $256.2K·NO $54.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.91M
Avg Win Rate
74.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.14M(-59.7%)
Whales
1,908
A
aleho🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·767,026 shares·also $383.5K on NO
$-265007INV $383.5K · WR 70.0%
W
wokerjoesleeper🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·575,169.2 shares·also $287.5K on NO
$-198721INV $287.6K · WR 87.6%
C
ColdConviction🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·512,142.8 shares·also $256.1K on NO
$-176945INV $256.1K · WR 81.0%
H
holandikboth sides
Entry 50¢·341,132 shares·also $170.6K on NO
$-117861INV $170.6K · WR 60.9%
B
bestfriendshedged
Entry 66¢·206,851.9 shares·also $77.2K on NO
$-103912INV $135.9K · WR 83.1%
C
cocos228
Entry 33¢·180,096.7 shares
$-31688INV $59.5K · WR 68.5%
M
marketsidehedged
Entry 25¢·223,267.2 shares·also $167.8K on NO
$-20823INV $55.3K · WR 55.0%
S
SmallFishInWhaleStomachboth sides
Entry 50¢·104,295.6 shares·also $52.1K on NO
$-36034INV $52.1K · WR 82.0%
R
risk-manager
Entry 31¢·105,000.1 shares
$-16233INV $32.5K · WR 73.6%
C
Cadabra
Entry 37¢·84,052.2 shares
$-17716INV $30.7K · WR 68.4%
Showing top 10 of 1,908

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 56% YES: Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic…