PantheraUncia · Polymarket wallet 0xcf19…6402

Wallet snapshot

PantheraUncia has made 28,264 trades on Polymarket across 420 markets, $9.0M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (42%) and sports (28%). On 367 resolved markets the win rate is 56.7%, lifetime P&L +$187K. It holds 16 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $55K · 36¢ → 48¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No · $18K · 76¢ → 95¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $15K · 86¢ → 97¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $15K · 12¢ → 8¢
• Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $13K · 4¢ → 5¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No · $12K · 37¢ → 56¢
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $9,428 · 5¢ → 6¢
• Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No · $4,822 · 71¢ → 96¢
• Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No · $4,504 · 87¢ → 90¢
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $3,132 · 2¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No · -$40 · Oct 8, 2026
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes · -$1,336 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes · +$177 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · -$2,083 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes · +$154 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$695 · Oct 3, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?

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