Economics58 days left
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
YES Price
76¢
76% implied
NO Price
24¢
24% implied
Volume
$775.8K
5,419 trades
Smart Whales
164
of 627 traders · 3 on both sides
Fed Decision in December?
9 MARKETS · $15.08M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
20¢+34¢$7.52M322/278by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+34¢20¢
$7.52M322/278
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+18¢$4.38M53/245by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+18¢0¢
$4.38M53/245
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
0¢+19¢$559.4K14/61by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+19¢0¢
$559.4K14/61
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+22¢$600.3K23/78by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting+22¢1¢
$600.3K23/78
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting
23¢+23¢$678.4K70/82Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting+23¢23¢
$678.4K70/82
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting←
76¢−36¢$775.8K65/99by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting←−36¢76¢
$775.8K65/99
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
3¢+12¢$419.5K14/78by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+12¢3¢
$419.5K14/78
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
68 YESvs99 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 65% YES by dollars · 38 YES vs 24 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 78%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$10.3K+32 new NO$2.9K
$50 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$91 of $10.4K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $6.7K·NO $3.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$19.0K
Avg Win Rate
68.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.4K(+49.3%)
Whales
68
4
456ythgbvcadscvb🥇
Entry 41¢·7,177.2 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$2479
+$2479INV $2.9K · WR 77.6%
4
0x49fb70dd...🥈
Entry 71¢·2,854.8 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$129
+$129INV $2.0K · WR 60.0%
J
Jjjh77660🥉hedged
Entry 42¢·4,508.3 shares·also $4.1K on NO
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
+$1498
+$1498INV $1.9K · WR 67.6%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven
Entry 33¢·3,323 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$1407
+$1407INV $1.1K · WR 64.4%
S
S4uron
Entry 74¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$744
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $744 · WR 62.0%
X
x26◆Proven
Entry 63¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$634
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$121
+$121INV $634 · WR 77.6%
T
toby777777
Entry 69¢·735.3 shares
Invested
$508
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $508 · WR 61.9%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 64¢·544.4 shares
Invested
$349
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $349 · WR 74.2%
S
sdhykyhedged
Entry 4¢·4,469.2 shares·also $3.9K on NO
Invested
$196
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$3179
+$3179INV $196 · WR 59.4%
W
WarshHikingWhale
Entry 59¢·305 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $181 · WR 60.7%
Showing top 10 of 68
NO Team
Total Invested
$85.4K
Avg Win Rate
79.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$25.2K(-29.6%)
Whales
99
B
Bigggggggg🥇
Entry 41¢·34,071.6 shares
Invested
$14.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-5739
$-5739INV $14.1K · WR 85.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 34¢·27,745.8 shares
Invested
$9.4K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-2608
$-2608INV $9.4K · WR 85.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥉
Entry 39¢·17,576.4 shares
Invested
$6.9K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-2558
$-2558INV $6.9K · WR 79.2%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 46¢·12,858.4 shares
Invested
$5.9K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-2727
$-2727INV $5.9K · WR 77.6%
M
merod
Entry 42¢·13,036.3 shares
Invested
$5.4K
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-2235
$-2235INV $5.4K · WR 84.1%
D
0xd32ce89f...◆Proven
Entry 40¢·13,338.3 shares
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
$-2018
$-2018INV $5.3K · WR 83.5%
J
Jjjh77660hedged
Entry 59¢·6,894.2 shares·also $1.9K on YES
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-2372
$-2372INV $4.1K · WR 67.6%
S
sdhykyhedged
Entry 50¢·7,767.4 shares·also $196 on YES
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-2013
$-2013INV $3.9K · WR 59.4%
K
korda77
Entry 37¢·7,637.2 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-951
$-951INV $2.8K · WR 85.2%
L
lpgb
Entry 26¢·7,349.9 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
$-141
$-141INV $1.9K · WR 75.7%
Showing top 10 of 99
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