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Economics62 days left

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$452.0K
3,023 trades
Smart Whales
76
of 252 traders ยท 1 on both sides

Fed Decision in December?

9 MARKETS ยท $13.10M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

18 YESvs59 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 36% YES by dollars ยท 15 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%ยท net of hedges
+6 new YES$657+22 new NO$4.9K
$31 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
1 smart whale16 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$240 of $4.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.3KยทNO $2.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
71.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.4K(-91.8%)
Whales
18
R
RememberAmalekProven๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 20ยขยท2,167 shares
$-425INV $433 ยท WR 64.4%
B
balthazar๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 3ยขยท12,717 shares
$-346INV $397 ยท WR 72.2%
H
HolyMoses7Proven๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 4ยขยท6,256.2 shares
$-228INV $253 ยท WR 77.6%
J
JordanMooneyProven
Entry 20ยขยท753.2 shares
$-147INV $150 ยท WR 85.7%
C
cryingbabydicer87hedged
Entry 20ยขยท600 sharesยทalso $996 on NO
$-118INV $120 ยท WR 55.7%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 13ยขยท210.7 shares
$-26INV $27 ยท WR 84.9%
T
Tysha
Entry 25ยขยท80.2 shares
$-19INV $20 ยท WR 89.3%
T
Tee1000
Entry 11ยขยท160.6 shares
$-17INV $18 ยท WR 81.8%
D
Donkov
Entry 0ยขยท3,304 shares
$-2INV $15 ยท WR 69.4%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 20ยขยท55 shares
$-11INV $11 ยท WR 88.2%
Showing top 10 of 18

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 22% YES: the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+โ€ฆ