Economics133 days left
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$4.5K
99 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 58 traders
Fed Decision in March?
11 MARKETS · $5.12M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
0¢+21¢$2.21M21/81by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+21¢0¢
$2.21M21/81
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
0¢+24¢$2.47M29/91by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting+24¢0¢
$2.47M29/91
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
1¢+16¢$196.0K11/52by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+16¢1¢
$196.0K11/52
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
2¢+23¢$178.7K16/47by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting+23¢2¢
$178.7K16/47
by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting
1¢−1¢$4.9K0/14by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting−1¢1¢
$4.9K0/14
by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting←
5¢+2¢$4.5K1/14by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting←+2¢5¢
$4.5K1/14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting
48¢−28¢$20.6K3/12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting−28¢48¢
$20.6K3/12
by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting
48¢−26¢$31.0K4/14by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting−26¢48¢
$31.0K4/14
by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting
2¢−2¢$5.2K0/15by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting−2¢2¢
$5.2K0/15
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs14 NO
93%
93% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%
+4 new YES$29+6 new NO$552
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $109 is directional: YES $9·NO $100YES Team
Total Invested
$9
Avg Win Rate
87.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$7(-78.8%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
85.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$91(+4.5%)
Whales
14
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 87¢·712.6 shares
Invested
$619
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $619 · WR 88.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 95¢·568.9 shares
Invested
$541
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $541 · WR 86.2%
A
anothercoin🥉
Entry 97¢·214.7 shares
Invested
$207
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $207 · WR 86.2%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 96¢·155 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $149 · WR 87.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 96¢·137.6 shares
Invested
$132
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $132 · WR 79.7%
S
Sardonic-Cue◆Proven
Entry 89¢·112.9 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $100 · WR 79.0%
C
C.PM
Entry 97¢·60 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $58 · WR 85.8%
A
akroll
Entry 97¢·50.8 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $49 · WR 84.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 96¢·45 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $43 · WR 88.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 96¢·36.3 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $35 · WR 79.6%
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