Economics133 days left
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?
YES Price
48¢
48% implied
NO Price
52¢
52% implied
Volume
$31.0K
284 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 100 traders
Fed Decision in March?
11 MARKETS · $5.59M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
78¢−25¢$3.17M135/121by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting−25¢78¢
$3.17M135/121
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+19¢$1.86M27/106by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+19¢1¢
$1.86M27/106
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
25¢0¢$355.3K21/64by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting0¢25¢
$355.3K21/64
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
1¢+22¢$120.8K13/44by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+22¢1¢
$120.8K13/44
by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting
1¢−1¢$4.9K0/14by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting−1¢1¢
$4.9K0/14
by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting
4¢+3¢$4.4K1/14by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting+3¢4¢
$4.4K1/14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting
48¢−28¢$20.6K3/12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting−28¢48¢
$20.6K3/12
by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting←
48¢−26¢$31.0K4/14by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting←−26¢48¢
$31.0K4/14
by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting
2¢−2¢$5.2K0/15by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting−2¢2¢
$5.2K0/15
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs15 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 20% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 68%
+2 new YES$133+6 new NO$288
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6.8K is directional: YES $1.4K·NO $5.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
57.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$120(+8.8%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.7K
Avg Win Rate
63.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$202(-3.0%)
Whales
15
T
truthteller🥇
Entry 53¢·10,168.1 shares
Invested
$5.4K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-178
$-178INV $5.4K · WR 57.7%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 55¢·713.6 shares
Invested
$395
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $395 · WR 88.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 54¢·568.9 shares
Invested
$309
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $309 · WR 86.2%
A
anothercoin
Entry 56¢·214.7 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $120 · WR 86.2%
M
melchior1248
Entry 56¢·191.2 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $107 · WR 69.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·155 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $78 · WR 86.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 56¢·125 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $70 · WR 86.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 48¢·137.6 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $66 · WR 79.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 45¢·95.8 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $44 · WR 87.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 46¢·75 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $34 · WR 88.9%
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