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Economics67 days left

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
2ยข
2% implied
NO Price
98ยข
98% implied
Volume
$350.7K
3,392 trades
Smart Whales
88
of 264 traders

Fed Decision in December?

9 MARKETS ยท $12.20M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

15 YESvs73 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 25% YES by dollars ยท 12 YES vs 18 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%ยท net of hedges
+8 new YES$31+6 new NO$828
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer โ€” left out of momentum
3 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $3.8K is directional: YES $937ยทNO $2.9K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
75.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$734(-53.3%)
Whales
15
R
RememberAmalekProven๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 20ยขยท2,167 shares
$-397INV $433 ยท WR 64.5%
D
donthackme๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 20ยขยท1,757 shares
$-322INV $351 ยท WR 87.6%
Z
ZD-ELO-M3๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 1ยขยท2,673.7 shares
+$10INV $37 ยท WR 96.6%
A
Avamax
Entry 1ยขยท2,000 shares
+$6INV $28 ยท WR 79.5%
T
Tee1000
Entry 11ยขยท240.6 shares
$-22INV $26 ยท WR 81.8%
R
ratad-ji
Entry 2ยขยท1,000 shares
$-4INV $21 ยท WR 59.2%
M
melonmanmProven
Entry 2ยขยท1,000 shares
$-1INV $18 ยท WR 69.4%
C
Capital-Endoderm
Entry 2ยขยท748.9 shares
$-0INV $13 ยท WR 60.6%
J
JordanMooneyProven
Entry 18ยขยท28.1 shares
$-5INV $5 ยท WR 86.1%
I
Irboz-sama
Entry 1ยขยท200 shares
+$1INV $3 ยท WR 66.3%
Showing top 10 of 15

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 19% YES: the Fed increase interest rates by 50+โ€ฆ