Economics111 days left
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$30.7K
485 trades
Smart Whales
37
of 99 traders
Fed Decision in January?
9 MARKETS · $12.73M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
16¢+39¢$7.13M318/256by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+39¢16¢
$7.13M318/256
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+20¢$4.15M55/226by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+20¢0¢
$4.15M55/226
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
76¢−36¢$761.7K64/96by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting−36¢76¢
$761.7K64/96
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
3¢+17¢$407.2K18/74by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+17¢3¢
$407.2K18/74
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
1¢+19¢$33.8K10/40by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+19¢1¢
$33.8K10/40
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
1¢+28¢$49.1K14/34by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting+28¢1¢
$49.1K14/34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting
65¢−33¢$78.9K19/40Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting−33¢65¢
$78.9K19/40
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs29 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 38% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 60%
+6 new YES$41+1 new NO$61
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $543 is directional: YES $204·NO $339YES Team
Total Invested
$204
Avg Win Rate
71.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$121(-59.0%)
Whales
8
L
lpgb🥇
Entry 20¢·504 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-93
$-93INV $101 · WR 75.2%
M
melonmanm◆Proven🥈
Entry 2¢·1,600 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $28 · WR 69.7%
D
Donkov🥉
Entry 2¢·1,467.8 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $25 · WR 69.4%
C
cryingbabydicer87
Entry 20¢·100 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $20 · WR 55.7%
T
Tall-Rate
Entry 1¢·1,604.3 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $19 · WR 70.6%
T
Touge
Entry 2¢·364.7 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 68.8%
T
Tee1000
Entry 10¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 81.8%
Showing top 7 of 8
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.8K
Avg Win Rate
83.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.1K(+93.5%)
Whales
29
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 50¢·5,487 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$2644
+$2644INV $2.8K · WR 87.6%
V
VictorLudorum🥈
Entry 51¢·2,270.7 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$1079
+$1079INV $1.2K · WR 88.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 50¢·2,297.9 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1116
+$1116INV $1.1K · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 55¢·2,067.7 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$905
+$905INV $1.1K · WR 72.2%
D
0xd32ce89f...
Entry 50¢·2,177.4 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
+$1057
+$1057INV $1.1K · WR 83.4%
E
e46m3
Entry 51¢·1,603.9 shares
Invested
$814
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$766
+$766INV $814 · WR 79.5%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 97¢·341.2 shares
Invested
$332
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $332 · WR 74.2%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 70¢·400 shares
Invested
$281
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$113
+$113INV $281 · WR 84.4%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·226.8 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$110
+$110INV $113 · WR 79.6%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 50¢·201.1 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $101 · WR 59.5%
Showing top 10 of 29
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