Economics133 days left
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$5.2K
71 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 47 traders
Fed Decision in March?
11 MARKETS · $5.59M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
78¢−25¢$3.17M135/121by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting−25¢78¢
$3.17M135/121
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+19¢$1.86M27/106by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+19¢1¢
$1.86M27/106
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
25¢0¢$355.3K21/64by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting0¢25¢
$355.3K21/64
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
1¢+22¢$120.8K13/44by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+22¢1¢
$120.8K13/44
by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting
1¢−1¢$4.9K0/14by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting−1¢1¢
$4.9K0/14
by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting
4¢+3¢$4.4K1/14by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting+3¢4¢
$4.4K1/14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting
48¢−28¢$20.6K3/12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting−28¢48¢
$20.6K3/12
by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting
48¢−26¢$31.0K4/14by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting−26¢48¢
$31.0K4/14
by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting←
2¢−2¢$5.2K0/15by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting←−2¢2¢
$5.2K0/15
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs15 NO
94%
94% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%
+4 new YES$6+3 new NO$90
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3 is directional: YES $3·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
69.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+26.8%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.3K
Avg Win Rate
85.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$129(+5.6%)
Whales
15
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 95¢·712.6 shares
Invested
$679
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $679 · WR 88.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 99¢·568.9 shares
Invested
$560
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $560 · WR 86.2%
A
anothercoin🥉
Entry 95¢·214.7 shares
Invested
$203
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $203 · WR 86.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 93¢·191.2 shares
Invested
$177
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $177 · WR 72.1%
G
god83743894
Entry 95¢·155 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $147 · WR 86.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 98¢·137.6 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $135 · WR 79.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 98¢·95.9 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $94 · WR 87.7%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 98¢·75 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $73 · WR 87.0%
C
C.PM
Entry 96¢·65 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $63 · WR 85.8%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 96¢·60 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $58 · WR 88.2%
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