Economics175 days left
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?
YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$16.2K
160 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 81 traders
Fed Decision in April?
11 MARKETS · $5.57M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
78¢−25¢$3.17M135/121by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting−25¢78¢
$3.17M135/121
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+19¢$1.86M27/106by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+19¢1¢
$1.86M27/106
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
25¢0¢$355.3K21/64by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting0¢25¢
$355.3K21/64
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
1¢+22¢$120.8K13/44by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+22¢1¢
$120.8K13/44
by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting
48¢−26¢$31.0K4/14by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting−26¢48¢
$31.0K4/14
by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting
2¢−2¢$5.2K0/15by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting−2¢2¢
$5.2K0/15
by 50+ bps after the April 2027 meeting
4¢+3¢$2.9K1/13by 50+ bps after the April 2027 meeting+3¢4¢
$2.9K1/13
by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting
11¢−3¢$3.0K1/11by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting−3¢11¢
$3.0K1/11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2027 meeting
55¢−30¢$11.7K4/12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2027 meeting−30¢55¢
$11.7K4/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$22+7 new NO$156
$16 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $356 is directional: YES $5·NO $351YES Team
Total Invested
$9
Avg Win Rate
74.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$0(+3.3%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
74.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-0.3%)
Whales
11
T
truthteller🥇
Entry 75¢·468.5 shares
Invested
$351
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $351 · WR 57.7%
L
Likaseent🥈
Entry 73¢·347.9 shares
Invested
$254
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $254 · WR 81.8%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 76¢·196.4 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $150 · WR 88.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 76¢·140 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $106 · WR 72.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 78¢·130.4 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $101 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 83¢·32.8 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $27 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 82¢·32.7 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $27 · WR 86.2%
M
melchior1248
Entry 76¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 69.8%
A
anothercoin
Entry 76¢·17.8 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 86.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 76¢·12 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 79.7%
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