Economics175 days left
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?
YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$3.0K
77 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 54 traders
Fed Decision in April?
11 MARKETS · $5.10M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
0¢+21¢$2.21M21/81by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+21¢0¢
$2.21M21/81
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
0¢+24¢$2.47M29/91by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting+24¢0¢
$2.47M29/91
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
1¢+16¢$196.0K11/52by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+16¢1¢
$196.0K11/52
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
2¢+23¢$178.7K16/47by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting+23¢2¢
$178.7K16/47
by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting
1¢−1¢$4.9K0/14by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting−1¢1¢
$4.9K0/14
by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting
4¢+3¢$4.4K1/14by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting+3¢4¢
$4.4K1/14
by 50+ bps after the April 2027 meeting
4¢+3¢$2.9K1/13by 50+ bps after the April 2027 meeting+3¢4¢
$2.9K1/13
by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting←
11¢−3¢$3.0K1/11by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting←−3¢11¢
$3.0K1/11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2027 meeting
55¢−30¢$11.7K4/12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2027 meeting−30¢55¢
$11.7K4/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs12 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$28+9 new NO$263
$36 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales3 smart whales
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$700
Avg Win Rate
83.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-0.2%)
Whales
12
L
Likaseent🥇
Entry 88¢·347.9 shares
Invested
$306
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $306 · WR 81.8%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 92¢·196.4 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $180 · WR 88.0%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 86¢·40 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $34 · WR 72.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 94¢·32.8 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $31 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 89¢·32.7 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
—
—INV $29 · WR 86.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 88¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $26 · WR 87.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 87¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $26 · WR 86.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 89¢·21.1 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $19 · WR 87.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 87¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $17 · WR 69.8%
A
anothercoin
Entry 93¢·17.8 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $17 · WR 86.2%
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