Economics111 days left
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$49.1K
788 trades
Smart Whales
46
of 184 traders
Fed Decision in January?
9 MARKETS · $12.44M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+22¢$5.59M43/150by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+22¢0¢
$5.59M43/150
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+29¢$5.47M81/201by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+29¢0¢
$5.47M81/201
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
0¢+26¢$529.1K20/56by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+26¢0¢
$529.1K20/56
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+24¢$564.5K25/76by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting+24¢1¢
$564.5K25/76
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
1¢+19¢$33.8K10/40by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+19¢1¢
$33.8K10/40
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting←
1¢+28¢$49.1K14/34by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting←+28¢1¢
$49.1K14/34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting
65¢−33¢$78.9K19/40Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting−33¢65¢
$78.9K19/40
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs35 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 81%
+9 new YES$213+1 new NO$49
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.8K is directional: YES $392·NO $1.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$465
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$307(-66.1%)
Whales
11
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 20¢·698.5 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-125
$-125INV $140 · WR 87.6%
C
Copezilla🥈
Entry 11¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $110 · WR 70.5%
D
Donkov🥉
Entry 4¢·2,015.6 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $77 · WR 69.4%
B
bakayo33 - 9934
Entry 15¢·200 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $29 · WR 60.6%
C
cryingbabydicer87
Entry 20¢·100 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $20 · WR 55.7%
W
Wonderful-Disgust
Entry 20¢·62.7 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $13 · WR 73.4%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 9¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 85.7%
M
MrIdiotPigeon
Entry 5¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 60.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 2¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 66.9%
Showing top 9 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.8K
Avg Win Rate
81.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.2K(+79.4%)
Whales
35
V
VictorLudorum🥇
Entry 51¢·2,252.4 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$1071
+$1071INV $1.1K · WR 88.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·2,297.9 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1117
+$1117INV $1.1K · WR 85.9%
D
0xd32ce89f...🥉
Entry 51¢·2,096.4 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
+$990
+$990INV $1.1K · WR 83.4%
B
balthazar
Entry 52¢·1,967.1 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$920
+$920INV $1.0K · WR 72.2%
Q
QMG-CORE
Entry 95¢·1,032.7 shares
Invested
$983
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $983 · WR 81.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·1,222.8 shares
Invested
$615
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$591
+$591INV $615 · WR 79.5%
S
Sardonic-Cue◆Proven
Entry 86¢·285.7 shares
Invested
$246
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $246 · WR 79.1%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·400 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$194
+$194INV $200 · WR 84.4%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven
Entry 86¢·182.2 shares
Invested
$157
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $157 · WR 64.4%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 86¢·134.2 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $115 · WR 79.1%
Showing top 10 of 35
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