Economics111 days left
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$33.8K
581 trades
Smart Whales
50
of 137 traders
Fed Decision in January?
9 MARKETS · $12.44M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+22¢$5.59M43/150by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+22¢0¢
$5.59M43/150
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+29¢$5.47M81/201by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+29¢0¢
$5.47M81/201
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
0¢+26¢$529.1K20/56by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+26¢0¢
$529.1K20/56
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+24¢$564.5K25/76by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting+24¢1¢
$564.5K25/76
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting←
1¢+19¢$33.8K10/40by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting←+19¢1¢
$33.8K10/40
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
1¢+28¢$49.1K14/34by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting+28¢1¢
$49.1K14/34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting
65¢−33¢$78.9K19/40Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting−33¢65¢
$78.9K19/40
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs41 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 58% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 58%
+3 new YES$14+2 new NO$18
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $466 is directional: YES $269·NO $197YES Team
Total Invested
$271
Avg Win Rate
71.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$207(-76.2%)
Whales
9
L
lpgb🥇
Entry 20¢·504 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-97
$-97INV $101 · WR 75.2%
C
Copezilla🥈
Entry 3¢·2,463 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $86 · WR 70.5%
D
Donkov🥉
Entry 2¢·2,458.3 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $40 · WR 69.4%
C
cryingbabydicer87
Entry 20¢·100 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $20 · WR 55.7%
C
CrackedTrader
Entry 1¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $16 · WR 71.4%
T
Touge
Entry 1¢·811 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 68.8%
Showing top 6 of 9
NO Team
Total Invested
$12.7K
Avg Win Rate
83.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.3K(+72.8%)
Whales
41
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 62¢·5,707.9 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$2148
+$2148INV $3.5K · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 89¢·2,297.9 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$224
+$224INV $2.1K · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 83¢·2,067.6 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$337
+$337INV $1.7K · WR 72.2%
D
0xd32ce89f...
Entry 67¢·2,101.4 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
+$682
+$682INV $1.4K · WR 83.4%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 54¢·2,270.7 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$1034
+$1034INV $1.2K · WR 88.1%
A
Ahpo
Entry 19¢·2,511 shares
Invested
$465
Win Rate
92.2%
Position P&L
+$2027
+$2027INV $465 · WR 92.2%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 97¢·347.7 shares
Invested
$336
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $336 · WR 79.1%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 99¢·300 shares
Invested
$296
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $296 · WR 84.4%
P
plainfolder
Entry 58¢·466 shares
Invested
$268
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$195
+$195INV $268 · WR 86.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 96¢·206.6 shares
Invested
$199
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $199 · WR 79.6%
Showing top 10 of 41
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