Economics175 days left
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2027 meeting?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$2.9K
52 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 38 traders
Fed Decision in April?
11 MARKETS · $5.10M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
0¢+21¢$2.21M21/81by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+21¢0¢
$2.21M21/81
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
0¢+24¢$2.47M29/91by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting+24¢0¢
$2.47M29/91
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
1¢+16¢$196.0K11/52by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+16¢1¢
$196.0K11/52
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
2¢+23¢$178.7K16/47by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting+23¢2¢
$178.7K16/47
by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting
1¢−1¢$4.9K0/14by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting−1¢1¢
$4.9K0/14
by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting
5¢+2¢$4.5K1/14by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting+2¢5¢
$4.5K1/14
by 50+ bps after the April 2027 meeting←
4¢+3¢$2.9K1/13by 50+ bps after the April 2027 meeting←+3¢4¢
$2.9K1/13
by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting
11¢−3¢$3.0K1/11by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting−3¢11¢
$3.0K1/11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2027 meeting
55¢−30¢$11.7K4/12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2027 meeting−30¢55¢
$11.7K4/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs13 NO
93%
93% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%
+4 new YES$2+4 new NO$59
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $835 is directional: YES $46·NO $789YES Team
Total Invested
$46
Avg Win Rate
57.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$17(-38.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
71.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$46(+2.9%)
Whales
13
P
puravida🥇
Entry 93¢·850 shares
Invested
$789
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $789 · WR 59.5%
L
Likaseent🥈
Entry 94¢·347.9 shares
Invested
$327
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $327 · WR 81.8%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 93¢·196.4 shares
Invested
$182
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $182 · WR 88.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 95¢·140 shares
Invested
$132
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $132 · WR 72.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 94¢·32.7 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $31 · WR 86.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 93¢·32.8 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $30 · WR 79.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 98¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $29 · WR 87.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 94¢·30 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $28 · WR 89.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 93¢·30 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $28 · WR 87.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 92¢·19.8 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 69.8%
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