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Economics67 days left

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
2ยข
2% implied
NO Price
98ยข
98% implied
Volume
$509.9K
5,071 trades
Smart Whales
95
of 450 traders ยท 1 on both sides

Fed Decision in December?

9 MARKETS ยท $10.20M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

21 YESvs75 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars ยท 14 YES vs 18 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%ยท net of hedges
+16 new YES$288+11 new NO$4.0K
$132 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
3 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$3 of $7.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.0KยทNO $6.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
75.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$427(-30.6%)
Whales
21
B
balthazar๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 4ยขยท12,215.3 shares
$-304INV $529 ยท WR 72.1%
S
spidermarnn๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 8ยขยท2,000 shares
$-124INV $161 ยท WR 75.6%
Z
ZD-ELO-M3๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 1ยขยท10,000 shares
+$72INV $112 ยท WR 96.6%
H
HolyMoses7Proven
Entry 2ยขยท3,335.9 shares
+$8INV $53 ยท WR 77.6%
L
LA17
Entry 7ยขยท739.5 shares
$-38INV $52 ยท WR 82.8%
M
melchior1248
Entry 2ยขยท3,281.5 shares
+$11INV $51 ยท WR 68.9%
W
Wordy-Yurt-Toenail
Entry 7ยขยท360 shares
$-20INV $26 ยท WR 60.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 20ยขยท100 shares
$-18INV $20 ยท WR 79.5%
R
ratad-ji
Entry 2ยขยท1,000 shares
$-0INV $19 ยท WR 59.2%
K
KariSpice
Entry 3ยขยท400 shares
$-4INV $11 ยท WR 84.0%
Showing top 10 of 21

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 22% YES: the Fed decrease interest rates by 25โ€ฆ