QMG-MACRO · Polymarket wallet 0x4755…4338

Wallet snapshot

QMG-MACRO has made 2,748 trades on Polymarket across 99 markets, $1.0M in volume. Most of it is in economics (71%) and geopolitics (10%). On 79 resolved markets the win rate is 89.9%, lifetime P&L +$6,826. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $22K · 20¢ → 87¢
• US recession by end of 2026?No · $10K · 91¢ → 93¢
• No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $5,266 · 27¢ → 96¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · $4,843 · 96¢ → 97¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $3,375 · 20¢ → 14¢
• Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No · $1,954 · 97¢ → 97¢
• Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting?No · $1,587 · 94¢ → 95¢
• Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?No · $775 · 88¢ → 86¢
• Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $185 · 20¢ → 4¢
• Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $2 · 20¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · -$326 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$995 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · -$4,477 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · -$4,838 · Oct 14, 2026
• Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No · +$61 · Oct 14, 2026
• Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · -$995 · Oct 14, 2026

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