🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
Economics81 days left

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
96¢
96% implied
NO Price
4¢
4% implied
Volume
$8.86M
110,749 trades
Smart Whales
965
of 12,541 traders · 8 on both sides

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

13 MARKETS · $54.05M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

468 YESvs505 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 271 YES vs 176 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 98%· net of hedges
+34 new YES$18.4K+15 new NO$483
$334 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1.9K of $839.9K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $798.5K·NO $39.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$862.2K
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$291.3K(+33.8%)
Whales
468
T
TheReturnOfDarthMaul🥇
Entry 80¢·593,512.1 shares
+$93429INV $474.5K · WR 62.7%
F
fed26🥈
Entry 40¢·262,621.3 shares
+$146982INV $104.3K · WR 59.1%
P
plumbis🥉
Entry 89¢·37,536.3 shares
+$2598INV $33.3K · WR 67.0%
A
akimbogod
Entry 78¢·30,105.1 shares
+$5210INV $23.6K · WR 67.7%
B
bosshogProven
Entry 90¢·17,495.8 shares
+$1067INV $15.7K · WR 70.9%
J
joy2theworld
Entry 94¢·15,000 shares
+$183INV $14.2K · WR 77.8%
P
phdcapital
Entry 67¢·20,000 shares
+$5778INV $13.4K · WR 94.2%
W
WongKimArk
Entry 76¢·11,244.2 shares
+$2246INV $8.5K · WR 58.6%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 53¢·14,515.8 shares·also $6.3K on NO
+$6171INV $7.7K · WR 56.3%
D
DEGENKHANProven
Entry 96¢·7,698.5 shares
$-40INV $7.4K · WR 66.6%
Showing top 10 of 468

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 3ms (cached)
Smart money 48% YES: no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026