Nervous-Parallelogram · Polymarket wallet 0xec98…afcd

Wallet snapshot

Nervous-Parallelogram has made 199,519 trades on Polymarket across 15,538 markets, $50M in volume. Most of it is in sports (95%). On 14,915 resolved markets the win rate is 55%, lifetime P&L +$575K. It holds 142 open positions right now; the largest is No on "2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House". Last trade: Nov 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $40K · 92¢ → 96¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $27K · 62¢ → 95¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · $19K · 87¢ → 97¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes · $18K · 84¢ → 71¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $17K · 70¢ → 67¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $16K · 81¢ → 83¢
• Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No · $15K · 90¢ → 99¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes · $14K · 62¢ → 72¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No · $13K · 57¢ → 77¢
• Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No · $11K · 64¢ → 71¢

Latest closed positions

• Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)No · -$150 · Nov 1, 2026
• Spread: Odense BK (-1.5)No · -$4 · Nov 1, 2026
• Trabzonspor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 3.5Yes · -$71 · Nov 1, 2026
• Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)No · -$356 · Nov 1, 2026
• Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes · -$323 · Nov 1, 2026
• Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo · +$49 · Nov 1, 2026
• Trabzonspor vs. Gaziantep FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes · -$543 · Nov 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.