🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
Economics81 days left

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$3.49M
38,049 trades
Smart Whales
445
of 4,808 traders · 5 on both sides

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

13 MARKETS · $54.05M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

208 YESvs242 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 27% YES by dollars · 112 YES vs 62 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$35+4 new NO$1.8K
$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$223 of $39.1K is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $10.6K·NO $28.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$28.9K
Avg Win Rate
68.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$8.9K(-30.9%)
Whales
208
I
ImJustKen🥇
Entry 10¢·24,018.5 shares
$-2034INV $2.5K · WR 61.2%
E
Eatpraylove🥈
Entry 11¢·11,230.4 shares
$-1087INV $1.3K · WR 72.8%
M
MrZender🥉
Entry 22¢·4,381.9 shares
$-875INV $952 · WR 58.6%
C
Copezilla
Entry 15¢·5,388.6 shares
$-740INV $835 · WR 70.5%
C
Cloudy-Naming
Entry 13¢·4,974 shares
$-550INV $637 · WR 61.0%
L
LA17
Entry 8¢·5,333.7 shares
$-323INV $416 · WR 82.5%
H
haruk098
Entry 21¢·1,905 shares
$-364INV $397 · WR 76.0%
D
Dr.RelativeValue
Entry 13¢·2,600 shares
$-299INV $344 · WR 78.6%
M
MarvelFan94
Entry 7¢·4,731 shares
$-238INV $320 · WR 70.8%
8
89whytea89
Entry 27¢·1,184.7 shares
$-299INV $320 · WR 90.7%
Showing top 10 of 208

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 2248ms