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Economics90 days left

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
1ยข
1% implied
NO Price
99ยข
99% implied
Volume
$3.37M
39,929 trades
Smart Whales
400
of 5,140 traders ยท 4 on both sides

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

13 MARKETS ยท $53.80M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

186 YESvs218 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 77% YES by dollars ยท 93 YES vs 29 NO taking a side ยท 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%ยท net of hedges
+5 new YES$40+6 new NO$1.2K
$17 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer โ€” left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$183 of $26.4K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $20.2KยทNO $6.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$32.1K
Avg Win Rate
64.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$17.6K(-54.8%)
Whales
186
I
ImJustKen๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 4ยขยท197,396.6 shares
$-6841INV $8.7K ยท WR 61.3%
M
mombilProven๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 18ยขยท18,281.3 shares
$-3183INV $3.4K ยท WR 60.4%
4
0x4e25605f...๐Ÿฅ‰hedged
Entry 13ยขยท10,726.7 sharesยทalso $42 on NO
$-1251INV $1.4K ยท WR 69.4%
K
KimJonEn
Entry 21ยขยท3,949.5 shares
$-792INV $829 ยท WR 74.2%
G
GeneTheCow - 11222
Entry 20ยขยท2,993.6 shares
$-560INV $589 ยท WR 81.8%
N
notssf3
Entry 2ยขยท25,080 shares
$-344INV $582 ยท WR 60.9%
M
mr-green-tea
Entry 27ยขยท1,850 shares
$-482INV $500 ยท WR 65.1%
C
Copezilla
Entry 3ยขยท14,147.2 shares
$-337INV $471 ยท WR 70.5%
S
Skaliz
Entry 20ยขยท2,314.8 shares
$-430INV $452 ยท WR 58.2%
H
haruk098
Entry 19ยขยท1,905 shares
$-340INV $358 ยท WR 76.0%
Showing top 10 of 186

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 47% YES: 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026