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Economics57 days left

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
98¢
98% implied
NO Price
2¢
2% implied
Volume
$9.42M
113,915 trades
Smart Whales
926
of 13,036 traders · 7 on both sides

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

13 MARKETS · $55.44M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

465 YESvs468 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 269 YES vs 155 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 98%· net of hedges
+54 new YES$52.2K+17 new NO$1.1K
$395 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
17 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$664 of $919.7K is hedged across different prices by 7 wallets. True directional: YES $896.4K·NO $22.6K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.01M
Avg Win Rate
66.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$336.5K(+33.2%)
Whales
465
T
TheReturnOfDarthMaul🥇
Entry 81¢·643,512.1 shares
+$105217INV $523.1K · WR 63.1%
F
fed26🥈
Entry 40¢·262,634.7 shares
+$152103INV $104.3K · WR 59.1%
R
ratehikes🥉
Entry 68¢·47,035.3 shares
+$14159INV $31.8K · WR 57.7%
T
taut-dogwood
Entry 96¢·26,777.6 shares
+$312INV $25.8K · WR 95.6%
P
plumbis
Entry 56¢·44,782.5 shares
+$18529INV $25.2K · WR 62.5%
A
akimbogod
Entry 78¢·30,105.1 shares
+$5797INV $23.6K · WR 66.2%
N
Nervous-ParallelogramProven
Entry 87¢·20,000 shares
+$2210INV $17.3K · WR 55.1%
I
iraa3
Entry 96¢·14,826.1 shares
+$180INV $14.3K · WR 83.7%
P
phdcapital
Entry 67¢·20,000 shares
+$6168INV $13.4K · WR 94.2%
D
d1k21
Entry 96¢·10,150.1 shares
+$138INV $9.8K · WR 71.6%
Showing top 10 of 465

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 50% YES: no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026