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Economics101 days left

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
96ยข
96% implied
NO Price
4ยข
4% implied
Volume
$8.46M
107,147 trades
Smart Whales
877
of 12,083 traders ยท 10 on both sides

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

13 MARKETS ยท $53.09M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

415 YESvs472 NO
47%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars ยท 243 YES vs 182 NO taking a side ยท 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 98%ยท net of hedges
+33 new YES$6.7K+23 new NO$332
$466 of this was bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
6 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$2.0K of $856.1K is hedged across different prices by 10 wallets. True directional: YES $813.4KยทNO $40.8K
YES Team
Total Invested
$848.1K
Avg Win Rate
64.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$300.9K(+35.5%)
Whales
415
T
TheReturnOfDarthMaul๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 80ยขยท593,512.1 shares
+$93133INV $474.5K ยท WR 62.9%
F
fed26๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 40ยขยท262,621.3 shares
+$146733INV $104.4K ยท WR 59.1%
P
plumbis๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 88ยขยท40,599.8 shares
+$2974INV $35.9K ยท WR 55.3%
A
akimbogod
Entry 78ยขยท36,105.1 shares
+$6230INV $28.3K ยท WR 67.2%
R
ratehikes
Entry 62ยขยท39,282.5 shares
+$13300INV $24.3K ยท WR 68.8%
B
bosshog
Entry 88ยขยท17,500.5 shares
+$1365INV $15.4K ยท WR 70.8%
J
joy2theworld
Entry 94ยขยท15,000 shares
+$176INV $14.2K ยท WR 77.8%
P
phdcapital
Entry 67ยขยท20,000 shares
+$5768INV $13.4K ยท WR 94.7%
T
Tenebrus7
Entry 91ยขยท10,145.6 shares
+$430INV $9.3K ยท WR 74.4%
G
GlobalBetter
Entry 88ยขยท10,091.3 shares
+$741INV $8.9K ยท WR 68.8%
Showing top 10 of 415

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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