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Economics90 days left

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$3.00M
45,060 trades
Smart Whales
208
of 3,066 traders ยท 2 on both sides

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

13 MARKETS ยท $53.80M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

68 YESvs142 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 35% YES by dollars ยท 31 YES vs 25 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+2 new YES$0+1 new NO$6
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$13 of $2.2K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $770ยทNO $1.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
72.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$751(-21.6%)
Whales
68
C
Copezilla๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 0ยขยท33,500 shares
$-89INV $104 ยท WR 70.5%
C
Capital-Endoderm๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 2ยขยท5,001 shares
$-92INV $95 ยท WR 60.6%
D
donthackme๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 8ยขยท1,092.7 shares
$-84INV $84 ยท WR 87.6%
G
gremlin
Entry 8ยขยท1,000 shares
$-80INV $80 ยท WR 69.1%
B
BikesarethebestProven
Entry 2ยขยท3,735.4 shares
$-72INV $74 ยท WR 56.1%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 8ยขยท750.8 shares
$-58INV $58 ยท WR 85.1%
E
elvis1007
Entry 50ยขยท100 shares
$-50INV $50 ยท WR 76.1%
H
haruk098
Entry 2ยขยท1,905 shares
$-43INV $44 ยท WR 76.0%
K
kneelbeforetheking
Entry 8ยขยท500 shares
$-38INV $38 ยท WR 91.4%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 50ยขยท61.9 shares
$-31INV $31 ยท WR 80.9%
Showing top 10 of 68

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 32% YES: 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026