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Economics89 days left

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$3.98M
75,227 trades
Smart Whales
263
of 6,871 traders ยท 1 on both sides

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

13 MARKETS ยท $53.86M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

96 YESvs168 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 71% YES by dollars ยท 39 YES vs 32 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$7
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$35 of $3.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2.6KยทNO $1.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.6K
Avg Win Rate
74.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.6K(-56.1%)
Whales
96
I
ImJustKen๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 1ยขยท55,895.3 shares
$-455INV $481 ยท WR 61.3%
N
NOMOREDlCK๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 4ยขยท10,132 shares
$-420INV $425 ยท WR 71.4%
B
betterfasterstronger๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 8ยขยท4,183.3 shares
$-320INV $322 ยท WR 89.5%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 7ยขยท4,127 sharesยทalso $17 on NO
$-300INV $302 ยท WR 69.4%
I
Ideal
Entry 0ยขยท50,750.4 shares
$-201INV $223 ยท WR 67.8%
D
donthackme
Entry 8ยขยท2,080.5 shares
$-159INV $160 ยท WR 87.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 8ยขยท1,617.3 shares
$-124INV $124 ยท WR 72.2%
K
kneelbeforetheking
Entry 8ยขยท1,500 shares
$-115INV $115 ยท WR 91.5%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 8ยขยท800.9 shares
$-62INV $62 ยท WR 85.1%
S
SizirivProven
Entry 4ยขยท1,484.7 shares
$-61INV $62 ยท WR 89.2%
Showing top 10 of 96

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 34% YES: 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026