Polymarket wallet 0x4e25…d7a7

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x4e25…d7a7 has made 327,222 trades on Polymarket across 6,330 markets, $31M in volume. Most of it is in sports (39%) and economics (23%). On 6,082 resolved markets the win rate is 69.4%, lifetime P&L +$252K. It holds 435 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?". Last trade: Jun 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $29K · 82¢ → 95¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $21K · 55¢ → 78¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $20K · 82¢ → 96¢
• Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No · $15K · 16¢ → 99¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · $12K · 81¢ → 97¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · $11K · 21¢ → 96¢
• Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No · $11K · 86¢ → 97¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $8,300 · 37¢ → 22¢
• Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes · $8,167 · 85¢ → 100¢
• Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No · $7,960 · 26¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes · +$673 · Jul 18, 2026
• Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No · -$1,012 · Jul 18, 2026
• Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes · -$1 · Jul 8, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes · -$2,977 · Jul 8, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No · +$431 · Jul 8, 2026
• Iran leadership change by June 30?No · +$200 · Jul 8, 2026

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