Politics23 days left

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

YES Price
96¢
96% implied
NO Price
4¢
4% implied
Volume
$2.15M
25,665 trades
Smart Whales
452
of 4,092 traders · 4 on both sides

California Governor Election Winner

27 MARKETS · $41.81M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

265 YESvs191 NO
58%42%
58% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 224 YES vs 50 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 97%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$24.6K+23 new NO$990
$292 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales16 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$47 of $307.7K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $303.4K·NO $4.3K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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