kinderSman · Polymarket wallet 0xa6d9…fd2f

Wallet snapshot

kinderSman has made 19,454 trades on Polymarket across 731 markets, $6.8M in volume. Most of it is in crypto (30%) and geopolitics (18%). On 663 resolved markets the win rate is 96.1%, lifetime P&L +$152K. It holds 20 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?". Last trade: Oct 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · $11K · 99¢ → 100¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · $4,830 · 83¢ → 81¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $4,025 · 81¢ → 81¢
• Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No · $2,996 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?No · $1,989 · 99¢ → 99¢
• China x Japan military clash before 2027?No · $1,926 · 91¢ → 96¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $1,170 · 62¢ → 20¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No · $990 · 99¢ → 99¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo · $987 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No · $981 · 96¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$2,475 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin October 6-12?No · +$0 · Oct 13, 2026
• MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase October 6-12?No · +$0 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?Yes · +$17 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?No · -$102 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$9 · Oct 9, 2026

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