YES Price
47¢
47% implied
NO Price
53¢
53% implied
Volume
$31.9K
341 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 153 traders
How many Jensen Huang affairs will be reported by December 31?
5 MARKETS · $91.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 47¢
YES 50%NO 50%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 47¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 47% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 50%· net of hedges
$14.1K
$14.0K
+98 new YES · 13 smart whales+92 new NO · 13 smart whales
$5.4K bought on both sides by the same 37 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ6 of 8 on NO
YES 2NO 6one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
6 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 21h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5.6K is directional: YES $2.6K·NO $3.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.6K
Avg Win Rate
70.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$480(-18.3%)
Whales
9
R
rhinogiraffe🥇
Entry 50¢·2,128 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
$-210
$-210INV $1.1K · WR 75.7%
E
Euan🥈
Entry 50¢·1,042.6 shares
Invested
$521
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-99
$-99INV $521 · WR 69.8%
D
doubleone2🥉
Entry 51¢·696.1 shares
Invested
$355
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-73
$-73INV $355 · WR 62.5%
G
Gdub
Entry 50¢·500 shares
Invested
$250
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $250 · WR 69.9%
T
TruongMyLan
Entry 44¢·555 shares
Invested
$244
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $244 · WR 59.7%
C
Chowiez
Entry 53¢·212.7 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $112 · WR 62.5%
P
poloska
Entry 40¢·100 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $40 · WR 85.7%
D
Dr.mett
Entry 53¢·33.6 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $18 · WR 88.6%
S
Self-Assured-Motorcar
Entry 51¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 73.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.0K
Avg Win Rate
60.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$397(+13.3%)
Whales
9
S
StupidMonkeyyy🥇
Entry 55¢·3,446.6 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$171
+$171INV $1.9K · WR 58.9%
J
jumpingjehoshaphat🥈
Entry 49¢·910 shares
Invested
$448
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
+$93
+$93INV $448 · WR 63.9%
S
S55🥉
Entry 48¢·499.8 shares
Invested
$240
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $240 · WR 66.7%
N
Newshound◆Proven
Entry 49¢·430 shares
Invested
$211
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $211 · WR 57.1%
G
G.Hchen◆Proven
Entry 52¢·300 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $156 · WR 57.1%
D
DREAMBIG.◆Proven
Entry 48¢·55 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $27 · WR 71.5%
C
Contestable-Parfait
Entry 56¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 55.1%
D
doesntlisten
Entry 50¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 64.1%
B
big-bird1
Entry 53¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 69.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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