Contestable-Parfait · Polymarket wallet 0xc301…66aa

Wallet snapshot

Contestable-Parfait has made 23,362 trades on Polymarket across 431 markets, $4.8M in volume. Most of it is in politics (70%) and geopolitics (14%). On 252 resolved markets the win rate is 55.6%, lifetime P&L +$427K. It holds 167 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?". Last trade: Nov 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $102K · 79¢ → 92¢
• Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No · $54K · 78¢ → 95¢
• Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes · $53K · 29¢ → 96¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $51K · 82¢ → 95¢
• Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes · $23K · 89¢ → 93¢
• Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $19K · 46¢ → 57¢
• Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No · $15K · 98¢ → 98¢
• Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes · $14K · 90¢ → 96¢
• Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No · $12K · 97¢ → 96¢
• Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Yes · $8,447 · 74¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?No · -$146 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?No · +$491 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election?No · -$23 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$6,459 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No · +$8,314 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?Yes · -$16 · Nov 5, 2026

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