Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
YES Price
92¢
92% implied
NO Price
8¢
8% implied
Volume
$247.7K
1,404 trades
Smart Whales
87
of 272 traders · 1 on both sides
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)
3 MARKETS · $600.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections←
92¢−63¢$247.7K12/30Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections←−63¢92¢
$247.7K12/30
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
44 YESvs44 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 85% YES by dollars · 32 YES vs 14 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 82%· net of hedges
+179 new YES$179.3K+119 new NO$65.4K
$68.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 61 buyers — left out of momentum
50 smart whales47 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$66 of $36.6K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $31.0K·NO $5.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$32.6K
Avg Win Rate
61.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$15.8K(+48.4%)
Whales
44
I
ImJustKen🥇
Entry 77¢·9,696.3 shares
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$1479
+$1479INV $7.5K · WR 61.2%
S
SaylorMoon◆Proven🥈
Entry 77¢·7,131.4 shares
Invested
$5.5K
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$1100
+$1100INV $5.5K · WR 59.3%
P
peepeepooppoop🥉
Entry 90¢·5,719.7 shares
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$151
+$151INV $5.1K · WR 62.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 85¢·3,718 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$252
+$252INV $3.2K · WR 57.4%
S
seal7◆Proven
Entry 27¢·7,360.6 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$4810
+$4810INV $2.0K · WR 60.3%
T
The-Joker◆Proven
Entry 80¢·2,408.7 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$303
+$303INV $1.9K · WR 69.1%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 57¢·2,258.6 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$796
+$796INV $1.3K · WR 60.4%
B
balerinacapuchina
Entry 83¢·1,114.4 shares
Invested
$919
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$107
+$107INV $919 · WR 69.6%
A
andy29
Entry 77¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$765
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$157
+$157INV $765 · WR 55.4%
M
mr.ozi◆Proven
Entry 82¢·640 shares
Invested
$523
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $523 · WR 71.4%
Showing top 10 of 44
NO Team
Total Invested
$16.6K
Avg Win Rate
80.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$11.6K(-70.1%)
Whales
44
B
Bigggggggg🥇
Entry 72¢·5,571.5 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-3613
$-3613INV $4.0K · WR 86.1%
R
Rhabarberbarbarbar🥈
Entry 23¢·11,308.1 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-1741
$-1741INV $2.6K · WR 70.6%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 35¢·4,296 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-1176
$-1176INV $1.5K · WR 86.2%
L
Lucerys
Entry 65¢·1,750.1 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-1007
$-1007INV $1.1K · WR 88.0%
M
MisTKy
Entry 11¢·10,021.1 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-275
$-275INV $1.1K · WR 69.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 65¢·1,043.9 shares
Invested
$675
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-596
$-596INV $675 · WR 88.9%
M
melchior1248
Entry 94¢·664.4 shares
Invested
$627
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-576
$-576INV $627 · WR 69.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 56¢·1,072.4 shares
Invested
$602
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-521
$-521INV $602 · WR 79.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 68¢·836.3 shares
Invested
$568
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-505
$-505INV $568 · WR 88.2%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 71¢·750 shares
Invested
$533
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-474
$-474INV $533 · WR 85.0%
Showing top 10 of 44
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