Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by at least 20%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$3.1K
111 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 53 traders
LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?
12 MARKETS · $49.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs17 NO
11%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+4 new YES$0+1 new NO$140
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $200 is directional: YES $5·NO $195YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
82.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-81.1%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$923
Avg Win Rate
76.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$420(+45.5%)
Whales
17
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 69¢·491.2 shares
Invested
$340
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$148
+$148INV $340 · WR 87.6%
C
Contestable-Parfait🥈
Entry 98¢·200 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $195 · WR 55.6%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 74¢·200 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $148 · WR 72.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 98¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $39 · WR 86.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 59¢·54 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $32 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·60.1 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $30 · WR 79.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $30 · WR 86.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 100¢·25 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
—
—INV $25 · WR 79.7%
P
pollo07
Entry 50¢·45.4 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $23 · WR 83.2%
D
Defensive-Attachment
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $18 · WR 81.4%
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