Politics11 days left
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$3.3K
216 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 74 traders
LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?
12 MARKETS · $31.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs12 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$2+5 new NO$36
$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $15 is directional: YES $15·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$15
Avg Win Rate
68.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$4(+26.3%)
Whales
4
A
Arid-Pagoda🥇
Entry 9¢·52.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 72.2%
I
i2dt◆Proven🥈
Entry 22¢·20 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 70.0%
S
ScottyNooo🥉
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 56.0%
N
neverhackme
Entry 7¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 75.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$375
Avg Win Rate
79.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$124(+33.0%)
Whales
12
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 65¢·220 shares
Invested
$144
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $144 · WR 72.0%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 61¢·60 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $37 · WR 88.7%
G
glm4.1.fund🥉
Entry 67¢·54 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $36 · WR 85.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 86¢·40 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $34 · WR 85.8%
P
pollo07
Entry 54¢·45.4 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $25 · WR 85.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 73¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $22 · WR 79.4%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 86¢·25 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $22 · WR 79.6%
B
Bitgod
Entry 93¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $19 · WR 91.2%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 90¢·18.5 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $17 · WR 59.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 88.9%
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