Politics11 days left

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

12¢

12% implied

NO Price

88¢

88% implied

Volume

$2.0K

117 trades

Smart Whales

14

of 51 traders

LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?

12 MARKETS · $31.1K MATCHED

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs12 NO

14%86%

86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges

+5 new YES$10+4 new NO$36

$6 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum

0 smart whales1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $74 is directional: YES $14·NO $61

YES Team

Total Invested

$14

Avg Win Rate

74.5%

Aggregate P&L

+$5(+38.8%)

Whales

2

Entry 9¢·138 shares

+$1INV $13 · WR 74.9%

lightsout912🥈

Entry 1¢·50 shares

+$4INV $1 · WR 67.1%

NO Team

Total Invested

$335

Avg Win Rate

79.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$112(+33.3%)

Whales

12

Entry 92¢·100 shares

$-4INV $92 · WR 72.0%

neverhackme🥈

Entry 93¢·65 shares

$-3INV $61 · WR 75.6%

northdrawer🥉

Entry 78¢·60 shares

+$6INV $47 · WR 87.6%

Entry 71¢·42 shares

+$7INV $30 · WR 85.9%

Entry 50¢·45.4 shares

+$17INV $23 · WR 85.8%

Entry 50¢·40 shares

+$15INV $20 · WR 88.9%

Entry 50¢·36 shares

+$14INV $18 · WR 79.4%

Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat

Entry 90¢·18.5 shares

$-0INV $17 · WR 59.9%

Entry 50¢·30 shares

+$11INV $15 · WR 89.2%

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$8INV $10 · WR 86.1%

Showing top 10 of 12

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