Politics11 days left
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%?
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$4.1K
260 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 88 traders
LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?
12 MARKETS · $31.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs14 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$6+6 new NO$35
$6 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $17 is directional: YES $16·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$16
Avg Win Rate
68.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+9.5%)
Whales
6
I
i2dt◆Proven🥇
Entry 26¢·20 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 70.0%
L
lightsout912🥈
Entry 7¢·60 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $4 · WR 67.1%
N
neverhackme🥉
Entry 7¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 75.6%
Y
yoyo424269
Entry 22¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 70.3%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 15¢·11 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 56.0%
A
aliiz
Entry 11¢·0.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 65.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$367
Avg Win Rate
78.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$176(+47.9%)
Whales
14
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 73¢·120 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $87 · WR 72.0%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 50¢·99.5 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $50 · WR 69.5%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 73¢·60 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $44 · WR 86.1%
G
glm4.1.fund
Entry 56¢·54 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $30 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·56.1 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $28 · WR 79.4%
P
pollo07
Entry 50¢·45.4 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $23 · WR 85.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 86¢·25 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $22 · WR 79.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $20 · WR 87.6%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 90¢·18.5 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $17 · WR 59.7%
B
Bitgod
Entry 81¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $16 · WR 91.2%
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