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Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?

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YES Price

26¢

26% implied

NO Price

74¢

74% implied

Volume

$72.9K

461 trades

Smart Whales

25

of 162 traders

Which Tossup Senate States Will Republicans Win? (AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX)

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Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats←

26¢+7¢$72.9K8/16

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats←+7¢26¢

Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

1¢−1¢$1.2K0/4

Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

1¢−1¢$4120/3

Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

0¢+20¢$8161/4

Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+20¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas

Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas

Will Republicans win Alaska and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio

1¢−1¢$7710/2

Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas

1¢+19¢$4831/4

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas+19¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio−4¢4¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan+23¢2¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas+29¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio

3¢+22¢$6.0K1/3

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio+22¢3¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine

1¢+32¢$6371/2

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine+32¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas−3¢3¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas+49¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio

1¢−1¢$2.1K0/3

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan+17¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio

0¢+25¢$5191/3

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio+25¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

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Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas

1¢−1¢$6120/2

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio

1¢−1¢$7810/3

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa and Texas

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa and Texas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Ohio

1¢+24¢$1.2K1/3

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Ohio+24¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan

0¢+40¢$6.3K2/3

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan+40¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Ohio, and Texas

0¢+25¢$2.3K1/3

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Ohio, and Texas+25¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan

1¢−1¢$5970/3

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

1¢+99¢$5923/0

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+99¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Kansas

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Kansas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas

1¢+24¢$2.5K1/3

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas+24¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio

1¢−1¢$2.4K0/4

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio

1¢−1¢$4650/2

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine

Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas

Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio

Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan

Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

1¢+66¢$2.7K2/1

Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+66¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

9¢+27¢$18.9K4/7

Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas+27¢9¢

Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas

1¢−1¢$3.9K0/2

Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas

0¢+33¢$5.8K1/2

Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas+33¢0¢

Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas

0¢+40¢$3.7K2/3

Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas+40¢0¢

Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio

1¢−1¢$2.6K0/4

Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska

1¢−1¢$1.5K0/2

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas

2¢−2¢$2810/3

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas−2¢2¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio

4¢+16¢$7.2K1/4

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio+16¢4¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan

1¢+32¢$9.6K2/4

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan+32¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas

1¢+24¢$4591/3

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas+24¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas

1¢+16¢$6.6K1/5

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas+16¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio

3¢−3¢$2.3K0/5

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio−3¢3¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine0¢0¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas

1¢−1¢$4530/5

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio

1¢−1¢$7740/4

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio−1¢1¢

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan

1¢−1¢$5650/2

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan−1¢1¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

8 YESvs17 NO

32%68%

68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 24% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 11 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%· net of hedges

+45 new YES$7.5K+47 new NO$28.2K

$3.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 18 buyers — left out of momentum

10 smart whales8 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $16.9K is directional: YES $4.1K·NO $12.8K

YES Team

Total Invested

$4.4K

Avg Win Rate

68.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$581(+13.3%)

Whales

8

Entry 22¢·11,861.3 shares

+$446INV $2.6K · WR 68.5%

controlsProven🥈

Entry 23¢·4,347.8 shares

+$109INV $1000 · WR 70.5%

Entry 25¢·1,291.8 shares

+$6INV $323 · WR 59.9%

ShewasonlyonTRThedged

Entry 24¢·1,000 shares·also $790 on NO

+$16INV $239 · WR 61.4%

Entry 25¢·743.3 shares

+$4INV $186 · WR 72.8%

Entry 26¢·101.4 shares·also $75 on NO

$-1INV $26 · WR 75.1%

Entry 20¢·20.1 shares

+$1INV $4 · WR 80.0%

Entry 23¢·4.3 shares

+$0INV $1 · WR 63.2%

NO Team

Total Invested

$13.9K

Avg Win Rate

65.6%

Aggregate P&L

-$736(-5.3%)

Whales

17

Entry 79¢·11,819 shares

$-480INV $9.3K · WR 61.1%

Pure-ThreatProven🥈

Entry 78¢·2,000 shares

$-72INV $1.6K · WR 81.9%

Experienced-Specialist🥉

Entry 81¢·1,251.9 shares

$-82INV $1.0K · WR 79.2%

ShewasonlyonTRThedged

Entry 79¢·1,000 shares·also $239 on YES

$-45INV $790 · WR 61.4%

Entry 78¢·605.2 shares

$-19INV $470 · WR 75.6%

Entry 81¢·358.5 shares

$-23INV $290 · WR 55.6%

Entry 74¢·101.3 shares·also $26 on YES

+$1INV $75 · WR 75.1%

Entry 76¢·83.8 shares

$-1INV $64 · WR 86.1%

Entry 81¢·78 shares

$-5INV $63 · WR 55.9%

Entry 76¢·70 shares

$-1INV $53 · WR 86.0%

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Smart money 37% YES: Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa…