Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by at least 20%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$2.9K
143 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 65 traders
LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?
12 MARKETS · $49.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs18 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 41% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$1+3 new NO$103
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $41 is directional: YES $17·NO $24YES Team
Total Invested
$75
Avg Win Rate
65.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$71(-93.6%)
Whales
4
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 97¢·60.7 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$59
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $59 · WR 66.6%
C
Contestable-Parfait🥈
Entry 7¢·118 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 55.6%
S
sollydisa🥉
Entry 2¢·266 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 55.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 7¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 87.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$687
Avg Win Rate
82.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$486(+70.8%)
Whales
18
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 52¢·491.2 shares
Invested
$254
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$232
+$232INV $254 · WR 87.6%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 69¢·168.5 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $116 · WR 72.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 76¢·54 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $41 · WR 86.1%
C
C.PM
Entry 97¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $39 · WR 83.4%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 98¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $29 · WR 86.4%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $25 · WR 87.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 97¢·25 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $24 · WR 79.7%
P
pollo07
Entry 50¢·45.4 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $23 · WR 83.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 97¢·20.8 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 79.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $20 · WR 89.0%
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