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Economics58 days left

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$601.4K
5,618 trades
Smart Whales
102
of 490 traders · 1 on both sides

Fed Decision in December?

9 MARKETS · $15.65M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

25 YESvs78 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 19% YES by dollars · 17 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$164+14 new NO$6.5K
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
3 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$16 of $6.3K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.2K·NO $5.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
73.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$736(-42.0%)
Whales
25
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 4¢·13,476 shares
$-398INV $526 · WR 72.2%
S
spidermarnn🥈
Entry 8¢·2,000 shares
$-142INV $161 · WR 75.6%
T
truthteller🥉
Entry 1¢·11,712.5 shares
$-30INV $141 · WR 57.7%
Z
ZD-ELO-M3
Entry 1¢·10,000 shares
$-18INV $112 · WR 96.6%
H
HolyMoses7Proven
Entry 1¢·8,710.4 shares
$-22INV $109 · WR 77.6%
M
melchior1248
Entry 1¢·3,814.4 shares
$-19INV $57 · WR 69.2%
L
LA17
Entry 7¢·739.5 shares
$-45INV $52 · WR 82.5%
W
Wordy-Yurt-Toenail
Entry 7¢·360 shares
$-23INV $26 · WR 60.0%
R
ratad-ji
Entry 2¢·1,000 shares
$-9INV $19 · WR 59.2%
T
Touge
Entry 2¢·631.6 shares
$-6INV $12 · WR 67.9%
Showing top 10 of 25

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 23% YES: the Fed decrease interest rates by 25…