QMG-SCALAR · Polymarket wallet 0x1d62…d76b

Wallet snapshot

QMG-SCALAR has made 2,989 trades on Polymarket across 173 markets, $1.5M in volume. Most of it is in economics (38%) and geopolitics (19%). On 155 resolved markets the win rate is 94.2%, lifetime P&L +$18K. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?No · $15K · 94¢ → 94¢
• New pandemic in 2026?No · $9,797 · 94¢ → 96¢
• Iran Nuke before 2027?No · $9,661 · 96¢ → 97¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $9,595 · 96¢ → 96¢
• US recession by end of 2026?No · $9,408 · 92¢ → 94¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No · $9,350 · 93¢ → 94¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $8,650 · 20¢ → 87¢
• Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Yes · $1,508 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $1,350 · 20¢ → 14¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $768 · 11¢ → 77¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$3,000 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · -$1,991 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · -$1,952 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Yes · +$5 · Oct 5, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · +$1,006 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$869 · Oct 5, 2026

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