Economics58 days left
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$560.4K
3,149 trades
Smart Whales
78
of 263 traders
Fed Decision in December?
9 MARKETS · $15.83M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+15¢$6.04M36/209by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+15¢0¢
$6.04M36/209
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
1¢+27¢$6.65M81/210by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+27¢1¢
$6.65M81/210
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting←
0¢+19¢$560.4K14/61by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting←+19¢0¢
$560.4K14/61
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+22¢$603.9K23/78by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting+22¢1¢
$603.9K23/78
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting
23¢+23¢$680.5K70/82Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting+23¢23¢
$680.5K70/82
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
76¢−36¢$776.0K65/99by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting−36¢76¢
$776.0K65/99
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
3¢+12¢$420.2K14/78by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+12¢3¢
$420.2K14/78
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs63 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 36% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+8 new YES$38+10 new NO$7.0K
2 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.7K is directional: YES $1.3K·NO $2.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
72.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-90.3%)
Whales
15
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven🥇
Entry 20¢·2,167 shares
Invested
$433
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-424
$-424INV $433 · WR 64.4%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 3¢·13,848.1 shares
Invested
$400
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-338
$-338INV $400 · WR 72.2%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥉
Entry 4¢·6,256.2 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-217
$-217INV $245 · WR 77.6%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 20¢·753.2 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-146
$-146INV $150 · WR 85.7%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 13¢·210.7 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $27 · WR 84.9%
T
Tysha
Entry 25¢·80.2 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $20 · WR 89.2%
T
Tee1000
Entry 11¢·160.6 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 81.8%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 20¢·55 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 88.1%
D
Donkov
Entry 0¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 69.4%
R
ratad-ji
Entry 1¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 59.2%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$136.2K
Avg Win Rate
84.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$137.2K(+100.7%)
Whales
63
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 52¢·56,796.8 shares
Invested
$29.4K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$27171
+$27171INV $29.4K · WR 87.7%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 46¢·52,612.3 shares
Invested
$24.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$28296
+$28296INV $24.1K · WR 85.8%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 54¢·34,944.9 shares
Invested
$19.0K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$15784
+$15784INV $19.0K · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·31,917.5 shares
Invested
$16.1K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$15716
+$15716INV $16.1K · WR 85.9%
D
0xd32ce89f...◆Proven
Entry 51¢·16,475 shares
Invested
$8.4K
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
+$7993
+$7993INV $8.4K · WR 83.5%
M
merod
Entry 48¢·17,139.8 shares
Invested
$8.2K
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$8825
+$8825INV $8.2K · WR 84.1%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 50¢·13,905.5 shares
Invested
$7.0K
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$6832
+$6832INV $7.0K · WR 88.2%
K
korda77
Entry 51¢·13,622.3 shares
Invested
$6.9K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$6620
+$6620INV $6.9K · WR 85.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 100¢·1,608.3 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1.6K · WR 68.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 99¢·1,398 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $1.4K · WR 88.7%
Showing top 10 of 63
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