novel · Polymarket wallet 0x9a81…3e68

Wallet snapshot

novel has made 3,800 trades on Polymarket across 240 markets, $1.0M in volume. Most of it is in sports (32%) and crypto (21%). On 229 resolved markets the win rate is 86%. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?". Last trade: Jul 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $40 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $33 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes · $20 · 31¢ → 98¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $9 · 50¢ → 78¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $7 · 25¢ → 14¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $3 · 50¢ → 22¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $1 · 14¢ → 8¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $1 · 17¢ → 9¢
• Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes · $0 · 4¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No · +$0 · Sep 14, 2026
• Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No · +$0 · Sep 9, 2026
• Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No · +$0 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No · +$0 · Jul 31, 2026
• LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsYes · +$2 · Jul 9, 2026
• Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes · -$1 · Jul 5, 2026
• Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.