Politics758 days left

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES Price
9¢
9% implied
NO Price
91¢
91% implied
Volume
$18.59M
151,904 trades
Smart Whales
1705
of 29,784 traders · 39 on both sides

Presidential Election Winner 2028

61 MARKETS · $714.90M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

967 YESvs777 NO
55%45%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 74% YES by dollars · 372 YES vs 137 NO taking a side · 36 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 57%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$983+4 new NO$762
$62 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 78% of the money is not a bet
$859.2K of $1.10M is held equally on both sides by 34 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $889 is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $179.9K·NO $62.8K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 55% YES: Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US…