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Politics778 days left

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
9¢
9% implied
NO Price
91¢
91% implied
Volume
$12.55M
103,544 trades
Smart Whales
994
of 21,229 traders · 46 on both sides

Presidential Election Winner 2028

61 MARKETS · $707.25M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

545 YESvs495 NO
52%48%
52% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 72% YES by dollars · 209 YES vs 78 NO taking a side · 39 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+18 new YES$718+12 new NO$6.1K
$359 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 85% of the money is not a bet
$551.7K of $649.9K is held equally on both sides by 39 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $154 is hedged across different prices by 7 wallets. True directional: YES $71.0K·NO $27.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$390.7K
Avg Win Rate
78.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$244.5K(-62.6%)
Whales
545
S
Slowroasted🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·130,000 shares·also $65.0K on NO
$-53755INV $65.0K · WR 92.8%
D
disdatderedem🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·100,000 shares·also $50.0K on NO
$-41350INV $50.0K · WR 88.2%
R
RobertoRubio🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·100,000 shares·also $50.0K on NO
$-41350INV $50.0K · WR 81.1%
A
Ahpoboth sides
Entry 50¢·60,000 shares·also $30.0K on NO
$-24810INV $30.0K · WR 92.2%
J
JJoboth sides
Entry 50¢·50,000 shares·also $25.0K on NO
$-20675INV $25.0K · WR 76.8%
P
PantheraUncia
Entry 12¢·186,359 shares
$-6256INV $22.4K · WR 56.6%
G
guru69both sides
Entry 50¢·27,381.5 shares·also $13.7K on NO
$-11322INV $13.7K · WR 55.6%
S
stopgrowing
Entry 12¢·101,239.2 shares
$-3819INV $12.6K · WR 62.2%
A
AndreaPirloboth sides
Entry 50¢·23,531.1 shares·also $11.8K on NO
$-9730INV $11.8K · WR 59.3%
T
TerreMotoboth sides
Entry 50¢·22,962 shares·also $11.5K on NO
$-9495INV $11.5K · WR 81.1%
Showing top 10 of 545

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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