Politics734 days left

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$19.01M
153,439 trades
Smart Whales
1582
of 29,999 traders · 38 on both sides

Presidential Election Winner 2028

63 MARKETS · $732.03M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

912 YESvs708 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 85% YES by dollars · 366 YES vs 117 NO taking a side · 34 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 63%· net of hedges
+63 new YES$4.5K+17 new NO$7.3K
$1.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
14 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 72% of the money is not a bet
$516.2K of $719.4K is held equally on both sides by 32 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $898 is hedged across different prices by 6 wallets. True directional: YES $170.9K·NO $31.4K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 56% YES: Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US…