🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
Politics778 days left

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$18.38M
150,532 trades
Smart Whales
1675
of 29,622 traders · 35 on both sides

Presidential Election Winner 2028

61 MARKETS · $707.28M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

965 YESvs745 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 74% YES by dollars · 385 YES vs 135 NO taking a side · 33 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+26 new YES$1.3K+25 new NO$9.6K
$1.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 72% of the money is not a bet
$597.9K of $834.5K is held equally on both sides by 32 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $886 is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $173.9K·NO $61.8K
YES Team
Total Invested
$583.5K
Avg Win Rate
70.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$334.0K(-57.2%)
Whales
965
T
tudor123🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·413,466 shares·also $206.7K on NO
$-173862INV $206.7K · WR 76.5%
R
Remote-Aglet🥈
Entry 13¢·376,080.4 shares
$-17871INV $47.8K · WR 62.5%
G
gopfan2🥉
Entry 17¢·190,999.8 shares
$-17707INV $32.9K · WR 60.0%
T
TradeDeficitArchitectboth sides
Entry 50¢·50,000 shares·also $25.0K on NO
$-21025INV $25.0K · WR 63.5%
D
DREAMBIG.both sides
Entry 50¢·45,000 shares·also $22.5K on NO
$-18922INV $22.5K · WR 71.8%
T
tjaboth sides
Entry 50¢·40,000 shares·also $20.0K on NO
$-16820INV $20.0K · WR 74.4%
C
cqs
Entry 17¢·100,000 shares
$-9050INV $17.0K · WR 72.8%
I
Imbaferboth sides
Entry 50¢·22,000 shares·also $11.0K on NO
$-9251INV $11.0K · WR 58.7%
A
AlfredTheShillerboth sides
Entry 50¢·19,000 shares·also $9.5K on NO
$-7990INV $9.5K · WR 58.5%
T
thechainsmokers
Entry 17¢·52,746.8 shares
$-4730INV $8.9K · WR 68.9%
Showing top 10 of 965

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 272ms