risk-manager · Polymarket wallet 0xa61e…0abd

+$195,433 lifetime P&L · 73.6% win rate · 719 resolved markets · 0xa61ef8773ec2e821962306ca87d4b57e39ff0abd

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Wallet snapshot

risk-manager has made 810,445 trades on Polymarket across 871 markets, $23M in volume. Most of it is in sports (30%) and politics (25%). On 719 resolved markets the win rate is 73.6%, lifetime P&L +$195K. It holds 51 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Oct 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $28K · 81¢ → 91¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No · $22K · 79¢ → 86¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No · $16K · 94¢ → 97¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $16K · 31¢ → 15¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No · $14K · 84¢ → 94¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $9,050 · 83¢ → 91¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $8,450 · 83¢ → 85¢
Modi out by December 31, 2026?No · $5,465 · 95¢ → 97¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No · $4,660 · 84¢ → 92¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No · $4,375 · 86¢ → 88¢

Latest closed positions

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes · -$390 · Oct 9, 2026
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · +$2,924 · Oct 4, 2026
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · -$20 · Oct 3, 2026
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No · +$678 · Oct 2, 2026
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$3 · Oct 1, 2026
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · -$13 · Sep 29, 2026
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

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