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Politics766 days left

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$10.67M
105,861 trades
Smart Whales
1674
of 20,234 traders · 9 on both sides

Presidential Election Winner 2028

61 MARKETS · $711.52M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

797 YESvs886 NO
47%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 94 YES vs 111 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$20+6 new NO$72
$10 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 91% of the money is not a bet
$290.2K of $319.0K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $37 is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $4.6K·NO $24.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$211.4K
Avg Win Rate
80.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$142.2K(-67.2%)
Whales
797
B
borntoolate.eth🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·276,111 shares·also $138.1K on NO
$-134742INV $138.1K · WR 81.8%
D
DREAMBIG.🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·14,000 shares·also $7.0K on NO
$-6832INV $7.0K · WR 71.7%
E
ED99999🥉hedged
Entry 1¢·121,111.9 shares·also $10 on NO
+$177INV $1.3K · WR 73.5%
L
lranon2nd
Entry 2¢·30,000 shares
$-270INV $627 · WR 75.6%
T
TradeDeficitArchitectProven
Entry 3¢·19,163 shares
$-374INV $602 · WR 63.6%
D
debasedhedged
Entry 3¢·16,458.7 shares·also $15.5K on NO
$-330INV $519 · WR 65.9%
1
11122
Entry 1¢·100,761.7 shares
+$697INV $504 · WR 60.6%
I
Impure-Anniversary
Entry 4¢·5,804.9 shares
$-185INV $254 · WR 69.2%
D
disdatderedem
Entry 2¢·10,000 shares
$-30INV $150 · WR 89.5%
E
Eia
Entry 1¢·15,810.6 shares
+$80INV $109 · WR 62.2%
Showing top 10 of 797

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 47% YES: Donald Trump win the 2028 US…