lranon2nd · Polymarket wallet 0x396f…7f78

Wallet snapshot

lranon2nd has made 8,771 trades on Polymarket across 590 markets, $1.6M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (13%) and sports (11%). On 577 resolved markets the win rate is 75.4%, lifetime P&L +$24K. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $2,369 · 50¢ → 79¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $632 · 50¢ → 21¢
• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $375 · 2¢ → 1¢
• Modi out by June 30, 2027?Yes · $135 · 17¢ → 14¢
• Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?Yes · $130 · 10¢ → 13¢
• Modi out by December 31, 2026?Yes · $52 · 8¢ → 5¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes · $45 · 7¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$101 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by September 30?Yes · -$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Yes · -$107 · Oct 1, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$217 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by August 31?Yes · +$2 · Sep 8, 2026
• Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 26 and 28 million views on week 1?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.