George.Smiley · Polymarket wallet 0x2110…5850

Wallet snapshot

George.Smiley has made 5,430 trades on Polymarket across 294 markets, $1.2M in volume. Most of it is in tech (53%) and politics (19%). On 267 resolved markets the win rate is 68.5%, lifetime P&L +$57K. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Yes · $15K · 28¢ → 90¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No · $14K · 23¢ → 92¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $9,050 · 93¢ → 91¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $6,450 · 63¢ → 65¢
• Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Yes · $1,484 · 36¢ → 92¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?No · $958 · 47¢ → 96¢
• Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No · $572 · 53¢ → 92¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $269 · 17¢ → 9¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $247 · 31¢ → 15¢
• Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes · $67 · 37¢ → 33¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?No · +$640 · Oct 16, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$1,593 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes · -$182 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No · -$2 · Oct 10, 2026
• OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes · +$2 · Oct 10, 2026
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes · -$16 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?

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