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Economics80 days left

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$539.6K
3,740 trades
Smart Whales
170
of 625 traders · 2 on both sides

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

14 MARKETS · $6.65M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

58 YESvs114 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 89% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 7 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+1 new YES$0+4 new NO$50
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $1.5K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $1.3K·NO $160
YES Team
Total Invested
$22.8K
Avg Win Rate
73.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$13.4K(-58.5%)
Whales
58
C
coolquail🥇hedged
Entry 93¢·1,991.2 shares·also $1.2K on NO
$-1841INV $1.9K · WR 55.3%
M
Manual-Now-Anxiety🥈hedged
Entry 91¢·1,901 shares·also $171 on NO
$-1707INV $1.7K · WR 100.0%
C
capableDaughter🥉hedged
Entry 96¢·1,468 shares·also $59 on NO
$-1398INV $1.4K · WR 66.7%
C
Crash2569hedged
Entry 91¢·1,544 shares·also $139 on NO
$-1387INV $1.4K · WR 70.6%
A
antiqueuk11hedged
Entry 91¢·1,431 shares·also $129 on NO
$-1285INV $1.3K · WR 72.2%
M
Measurecz17hedged
Entry 91¢·1,403 shares·also $126 on NO
$-1260INV $1.3K · WR 73.7%
A
annualkx49hedged
Entry 91¢·1,376 shares·also $124 on NO
$-1236INV $1.2K · WR 77.3%
A
amateur-advice-pulphedged
Entry 91¢·1,348 shares·also $128 on NO
$-1209INV $1.2K · WR 83.3%
F
fed26
Entry 41¢·2,780.5 shares
$-1112INV $1.1K · WR 59.1%
M
myselfOrbithedged
Entry 9¢·1,889 shares·also $1.7K on NO
$-153INV $170 · WR 88.2%
Showing top 10 of 58

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 34% YES: the upper bound of the target federal…