Economics89 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be โฅ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
15ยข
15% implied
NO Price
85ยข
85% implied
Volume
$2.42M
16,984 trades
Smart Whales
135
of 6,318 traders ยท 1 on both sides
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
14 MARKETS ยท $6.64M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026
0ยข+17ยข$154.1K14/68Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026+17ยข0ยข
$154.1K14/68
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0ยข+20ยข$151.9K17/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+20ยข0ยข
$151.9K17/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0ยข+11ยข$154.1K8/64Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+11ยข0ยข
$154.1K8/64
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0ยข+10ยข$94.2K7/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+10ยข0ยข
$94.2K7/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026
0ยข+26ยข$180.3K27/78Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026+26ยข0ยข
$180.3K27/78
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026
0ยข+14ยข$70.4K11/69Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026+14ยข0ยข
$70.4K11/69
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026
0ยข+18ยข$500.7K15/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026+18ยข0ยข
$500.7K15/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0ยข+15ยข$86.7K12/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+15ยข0ยข
$86.7K12/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
2ยข+14ยข$207.6K14/72Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+14ยข2ยข
$207.6K14/72
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
1ยข+34ยข$539.1K59/112Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026+34ยข1ยข
$539.1K59/112
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
22ยข+13ยข$1.38M56/105Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+13ยข22ยข
$1.38M56/105
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026
48ยขโ32ยข$444.9K17/90Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026โ32ยข48ยข
$444.9K17/90
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Smart Money Consensus
37 YESvs99 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars ยท 20 YES vs 24 NO taking a side ยท 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 71%
+2 new YES$40+3 new NO$16
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$1 of $1.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $114ยทNO $1.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
73.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.8K(-55.0%)
Whales
37
G
gauge-science๐ฅhedged
Entry 96ยขยท950 sharesยทalso $14 on NO
Invested
$916
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-772
$-772INV $916 ยท WR 74.1%
H
harvestiq96๐ฅhedged
Entry 99ยขยท839 sharesยทalso $8 on NO
Invested
$829
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
$-702
$-702INV $829 ยท WR 72.4%
F
Few188๐ฅhedged
Entry 99ยขยท597 sharesยทalso $6 on NO
Invested
$590
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-500
$-500INV $590 ยท WR 64.0%
C
chalk63hedged
Entry 99ยขยท580 sharesยทalso $6 on NO
Invested
$573
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-485
$-485INV $573 ยท WR 85.2%
S
SingletonFamilyFund
Entry 34ยขยท168.2 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $58 ยท WR 69.4%
T
thefakenickhedged
Entry 3ยขยท1,000 sharesยทalso $969 on NO
Invested
$30
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$121
+$121INV $30 ยท WR 66.7%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 28ยขยท88.2 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $25 ยท WR 68.6%
G
ghorrock
Entry 40ยขยท38.4 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $15 ยท WR 60.1%
P
piece19hedged
Entry 1ยขยท1,391 sharesยทalso $1.4K on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$196
+$196INV $14 ยท WR 90.0%
A
Action-Bundle-Roasthedged
Entry 1ยขยท1,282 sharesยทalso $1.3K on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$181
+$181INV $13 ยท WR 85.2%
Showing top 10 of 37
NO Team
Total Invested
$13.2K
Avg Win Rate
80.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.6K(+50.1%)
Whales
99
P
piece19๐ฅhedged
Entry 99ยขยท1,391 sharesยทalso $14 on YES
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
$-193
$-193INV $1.4K ยท WR 90.0%
A
Action-Bundle-Roast๐ฅhedged
Entry 99ยขยท1,282 sharesยทalso $13 on YES
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-178
$-178INV $1.3K ยท WR 85.2%
I
influenz.eth๐ฅ
Entry 49ยขยท2,360.1 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$859
+$859INV $1.1K ยท WR 85.8%
C
Churnlonelyhedged
Entry 99ยขยท1,087 sharesยทalso $11 on YES
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
$-151
$-151INV $1.1K ยท WR 82.8%
T
thefakenickhedged
Entry 97ยขยท1,000 sharesยทalso $30 on YES
Invested
$969
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-120
$-120INV $969 ยท WR 66.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 96ยขยท898.8 shares
Invested
$861
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-98
$-98INV $861 ยท WR 72.1%
P
puravida
Entry 61ยขยท935 shares
Invested
$566
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$220
+$220INV $566 ยท WR 60.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 95ยขยท425.2 shares
Invested
$404
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $404 ยท WR 89.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 95ยขยท382.5 shares
Invested
$364
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $364 ยท WR 79.3%
R
rated
Entry 97ยขยท318.5 shares
Invested
$310
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $310 ยท WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 99
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