Economics106 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$88.3K
1,505 trades
Smart Whales
74
of 271 traders
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
14 MARKETS ยท $6.51M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026
1ยข+25ยข$143.3K22/64Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026+25ยข1ยข
$143.3K22/64
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0ยข+29ยข$146.7K27/65Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+29ยข0ยข
$146.7K27/65
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0ยข+23ยข$148.7K18/59Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+23ยข0ยข
$148.7K18/59
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026โ
0ยข+11ยข$88.3K8/66Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026โ+11ยข0ยข
$88.3K8/66
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026
1ยข+25ยข$173.2K28/80Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026+25ยข1ยข
$173.2K28/80
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026
1ยข+16ยข$61.4K14/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026+16ยข1ยข
$61.4K14/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026
1ยข+18ยข$489.0K17/72Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026+18ยข1ยข
$489.0K17/72
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
1ยข+19ยข$66.3K18/73Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+19ยข1ยข
$66.3K18/73
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
8ยข+9ยข$202.8K16/76Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+9ยข8ยข
$202.8K16/76
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
42ยขโ8ยข$532.2K59/115Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026โ8ยข42ยข
$532.2K59/115
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
32ยข+5ยข$1.37M57/99Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+5ยข32ยข
$1.37M57/99
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026
12ยข+5ยข$428.5K17/86Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026+5ยข12ยข
$428.5K17/86
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs66 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+3 new YES$1+6 new NO$209
0 smart whales4 smart whales
YES Team157 traders
Total Invested
$48
Avg Win Rate
78.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$43(-96.8%)
Whales
8
T
Tee1000๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
82.5%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 ยท WR 82.5%
Q
quiddy๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท13.9 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 ยท WR 76.1%
G
GingerMcKenna๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท10.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 ยท WR 86.3%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 50ยขยท9.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 ยท WR 56.5%
J
JoE
Entry 50ยขยท9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 ยท WR 76.2%
M
Mysaria
Entry 8ยขยท31.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 ยท WR 89.4%
P
PolyJaguar
Entry 0ยขยท195 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 ยท WR 56.6%
Showing top 7 of 8
NO Team157 traders
Total Invested
$6.1K
Avg Win Rate
85.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.4K(+205.3%)
Whales
66
I
influenz.eth๐ฅ
Entry 99ยขยท1,212 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1.2K ยท WR 85.7%
B
balthazar๐ฅ
Entry 100ยขยท475 shares
Invested
$473
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $473 ยท WR 71.7%
I
i18z๐ฅ
Entry 100ยขยท351.2 shares
Invested
$350
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $350 ยท WR 86.7%
R
rated
Entry 100ยขยท319.1 shares
Invested
$318
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $318 ยท WR 87.6%
M
mildwindow27
Entry 100ยขยท317 shares
Invested
$316
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $316 ยท WR 87.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 100ยขยท311 shares
Invested
$310
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $310 ยท WR 88.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 100ยขยท236.4 shares
Invested
$236
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $236 ยท WR 87.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 100ยขยท188.2 shares
Invested
$188
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $188 ยท WR 79.1%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 100ยขยท183 shares
Invested
$182
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $182 ยท WR 86.6%
P
products
Entry 100ยขยท180 shares
Invested
$179
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $179 ยท WR 86.4%
Showing top 10 of 66
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 163ms