Economics88 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$500.8K
2,838 trades
Smart Whales
84
of 634 traders
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
14 MARKETS · $6.64M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+17¢$154.2K14/68Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026+17¢0¢
$154.2K14/68
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+19¢$151.9K16/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+19¢0¢
$151.9K16/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+15¢$154.2K11/62Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+15¢0¢
$154.2K11/62
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+10¢$94.3K7/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+10¢0¢
$94.3K7/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+25¢$180.4K26/78Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026+25¢0¢
$180.4K26/78
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$70.5K11/69Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$70.5K11/69
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026←
0¢+18¢$500.8K15/69Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026←+18¢0¢
$500.8K15/69
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+15¢$86.8K12/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+15¢0¢
$86.8K12/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
2¢+14¢$207.7K14/72Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+14¢2¢
$207.7K14/72
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
1¢+34¢$539.2K58/110Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026+34¢1¢
$539.2K58/110
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
28¢+7¢$1.38M56/104Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+7¢28¢
$1.38M56/104
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026
48¢−32¢$445.0K17/90Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026−32¢48¢
$445.0K17/90
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs69 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+1 new YES$0+2 new NO$115
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $57 is directional: YES $50·NO $8YES Team
Total Invested
$63
Avg Win Rate
63.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$40(-63.6%)
Whales
15
P
puravida🥇
Entry 3¢·1,073.9 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $37 · WR 60.0%
S
Sardonic-Cue◆Proven🥈
Entry 0¢·2,195.9 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 79.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥉
Entry 14¢·20.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 68.6%
P
pako
Entry 28¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.3%
T
Tysha
Entry 4¢·25.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 89.3%
C
Crypto-Well
Entry 0¢·468.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.6%
S
sandokan22
Entry 14¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 74.6%
J
JoE
Entry 7¢·9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 76.3%
A
Anon321321321
Entry 6¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 84.6%
Q
quiddy
Entry 0¢·13.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 76.3%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$8.0K
Avg Win Rate
82.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.7K(+70.9%)
Whales
69
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 65¢·2,316.7 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$805
+$805INV $1.5K · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 96¢·853.6 shares
Invested
$823
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $823 · WR 72.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉
Entry 46¢·1,056.5 shares
Invested
$485
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$568
+$568INV $485 · WR 57.8%
I
i18z
Entry 96¢·339.3 shares
Invested
$325
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $325 · WR 87.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 97¢·320 shares
Invested
$309
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $309 · WR 89.3%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 98¢·308 shares
Invested
$301
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $301 · WR 88.7%
R
rated
Entry 93¢·320.5 shares
Invested
$298
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $298 · WR 87.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 98¢·271 shares
Invested
$266
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $266 · WR 85.9%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 99¢·239.7 shares
Invested
$237
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $237 · WR 85.8%
D
donthackme
Entry 97¢·241.4 shares
Invested
$234
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $234 · WR 87.6%
Showing top 10 of 69
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 619ms